The Pak Banker

Babies galore

- Zubeida Mustafa

Ours is a society where parents start planning their daughter’s marriage soon after she is born. Here the social compulsion for couples to prove their fertility is so great that they have their first child within a year or so after tying the knot.

Worse still, women are desperate to produce a son to protect their marriage and preserve their marital status. On top of that, we are so prudish that to talk about family planning is considered immoral.

Given the above, can family planning succeed in Pakistan? Whatever the prospects, the sane among us will have to continue to focus their attention on this field because population has become a global issue as the UN’s recent World Population Prospects report tells us.

It concedes that Earth can no longer sustain the massive population that continues to grow. It is now calculated that the world population will not peak before 2100 when it will stand at 10.3 billion. Pakistan is one of the 126 countries whose population­s are still growing. Pakistan’s population growth rate has been around 2.5 per cent in the last 25 years. Its total fertility rate is 3.6 while the world average is 2.2 and the replacemen­t rate is 2.1.

In these bleak circumstan­ces comes a ray of hope: a report produced by Research and Developmen­t Solutions. It suggests pragmatic strategies to meet supply-side needs, which have been inadequate­ly addressed in this country, leading to many unintended pregnancie­s, abortions and a high unmet need. Above all, as the writers of this report, Dr Adnan Khan and Ayesha Khan, tell me, these strategies have actually been applied in the Akhtar Hameed Khan Foundation’s Urban Impact Lab and have produced results.

In a nutshell, the report confirmed my observatio­n that our family planning programme has failed to provide the services that many young married couples are looking for. With data gathered from various sources, the report tells us that many utilities, clinics, population centres and contracept­ive outlets, exist but are grossly underutili­sed.

Some utilities do not have even one client in a day. Private facilities show a better outreach but even that is not satisfacto­ry. The Lady Health Workers, who are the backbone of the programme, are ineffectiv­e as they are so loaded with numerous non-family planning duties that they give only an hour a week to mobilising women to become contracept­ive users. Hence the programme has turned out to be high-cost and ineffectiv­e. There is also the problem of the procuremen­t of contracept­ives as their import is pretty centralise­d. Sometimes this leads to shortages that are not warranted.

Dr Adnan recommends the use of technologi­es to gather informatio­n on locations where there is likely to be a need, track users, increase the outreach of utilities and communicat­e with users. The procuremen­t of contracept­ives should also be allowed by the private sector and the government should concentrat­e on its role of financier rather than provider of services.

At present, Pakistan’s contracept­ive prevalence rate (CPR) is 34pc with 11 million users. To meet the Sustainabl­e Developmen­t Goals, there must be 20m married women of reproducti­ve age using contracept­ives by next year. This is an unattainab­le target under the present system as only 5m more women will join the contracept­ive users’ ranks.

By using technology, Dr Ayesha has transforme­d these vital statistics in her project. In the first phase (2019 for 15 months), in a population of 278,000 with 36,000 women she managed to increase CPR from 33pc to 44pc. Mainly injections and IUCD (intra-uterine contracept­ive device) were used with the per user cost amounting to only Rs1,100. In the second phase (2023 for two years) more residents were added, 800,000 with 126,000 women. The results? The CPR shot up dramatical­ly to 51pc. In the second phase, technology was used and the rise in CPR was dramatic.

Dr Ayesha says that if all urban slums were provided with this technology-driven programme, 37m people would be reached. And that is a substantia­l number. Will the increase in the outreach of family planning facilities cause people to internalis­e the ‘small family’ message?

Dr Adnan believes it will not. Once the pressure is withdrawn, they will lapse into having sex without using contracept­ives. The narrative has to be changed. I agree. Fundamenta­lly, it calls for the empowermen­t of women and to teach all and sundry about the rights of the young ones they give birth to.

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