Thai inflation rate rises but still below target
BANGKOK: Thailand’s headline inflation rate rose for the first time in seven months in April but remained below the central bank’s target range of one to three per cent for a 12th consecutive month, data showed yesterday.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.19 per cent in April from a year earlier, after a 0.47 per cent year-on-year drop the previous month, said the commerce ministry.
The rise compared with a forecast fall of 0.25 per cent in a Reuters poll, and was the first time since September last year that the headline inflation rate was positive.
The rise reflected a low base for electricity prices last year, higher agricultural prices, and a weak baht, said Trade Policy and Strategy Office director Poonpong Naiyanapakorn.
April’s core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 0.37 per cent from a year earlier.
Poonpong said the inflation was gradually moving into the target range.
Inflation in the second quarter was expected to be between 0.8 and 1.0 per cent, he said, and would remain positive for the rest of the year.
However, it was still the 12th consecutive month that annual inflation has been below the central bank’s target range, and the ministry maintained its inflation forecast for the year of between zero and 1.0 per cent.
In the first four months, average CPI dropped 0.55 per cent when compared with the same period a year earlier.
The ministry’s inflation estimates have not taken into account the government’s pledge to increase the daily minimum wage to 400 baht in October or the 500 billion baht stimulus handout to 50 million Thais that is scheduled for the fourth quarter this year.