Global Times

US solar panel scrutiny shows protection­ist forces India faces

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While the US “decoupling” push appears to be aimed directly at China, it is ultimately a form of trade protection­ism intended to protect US domestic industries. In this light, even India, viewed as a potential alternativ­e supplier for the US, is experienci­ng the strain.

Indian solar panels are facing US scrutiny for possible links to so-called “forced labor” in China, Reuters reported on Tuesday.

US Customs and Border Protection (CBP) has detained approximat­ely $43 million in shipments of electronic­s equipment from India since October 2023 under the US “Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act (UFLPA),” according to agency data.

While it is unclear what specific types of electronic­s equipment the CBP has detained, the situation reflects the protection­ist conundrums facing India as it develops its manufactur­ing sector.

The “forced labor” claims about Northwest China’s Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region are utter lies concocted by some politician­s in the US. The move is actually aimed at impeding China’s manufactur­ing developmen­t by excluding the region from the global supply chain.

Superficia­lly, the detainment of India’s electronic­s products may seem to be mainly targeting Chinese manufactur­ing, but in essence, it is aimed at protecting US interests by ensuring the competitiv­eness of American companies and the economy.

It is apparent that the current developmen­t of the Indian manufactur­ing sector is, to a large extent, dependent on the Chinese supply chain, as India needs Chinese raw materials, components, technologi­es and services.

The fact that China edged past the US and emerged as India’s largest trading partner with $118.4 billion of two-way commerce in the Indian fiscal year 2023-2024 – from April 2023 to March 2024 – is sufficient to prove that Indian manufactur­ing cannot exclude products, technologi­es and services imported from China.

India’s exports of electronic­s goods to the US have surged quickly. For instance, US trade data showed that imports of solar products from India have soared in recent years, hitting $2.3 billion last year, according to Reuters. In the second quarter of 2024, India accounted for 11 percent of US solar panel imports, more than double its share in the previous quarter, according to S&P Global Market Intelligen­ce.

Against this backdrop, it is not surprising that Indian producers have faced setbacks, given the increasing protection­ist trend in the US solar industry. This is because any foreign industry that poses a threat to US interests or competes with US industries is likely to be targeted by Washington’s trade protection­ism, regardless of its origin, be it China, India, the EU or any other economy.

The trend is now clear – the US is increasing­ly inclined to adopt trade and industrial protection­ist measures in order to boost its manufactur­ing revival, especially in the new-energy and other strategic sectors.

There is no denying that some of India’s exports to the US, such as solar panels and textiles, are seen as alternativ­es to Chinese products for the US, but they are likely only temporary solutions.

In the long run, if Indian industries grow to compete with their US counterpar­ts, which is inevitable, the US is bound to resort to tougher protection­ist policies using various excuses.

Amid rising global trade protection­ism, India faces much greater resistance in improving its position in the global industrial chain than China did in the past, when it comes to developing the manufactur­ing sector.

If anything, the US-led “decoupling” push aimed at squeezing Chinese manufactur­ing out of the global supply chain is unlikely to give India much time or opportunit­y for large-scale manufactur­ing growth.

In this context, India needs to diversify its export markets and seek more opportunit­ies in the Asian industrial chain by strengthen­ing cooperatio­n with regional countries to jointly address the challenges of trade protection­ism. India needs to enhance trade cooperatio­n with other developing countries in order to collective­ly uphold the smooth functionin­g of internatio­nal trade.

While the US “decoupling” push appears to be aimed directly at China, it is ultimately a form of trade protection­ism intended to protect US domestic industries. In this light, even India, viewed as a potential alternativ­e supplier for the US, is experienci­ng the strain.

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